Marketing Fundamentals

Module 02: Identifying Customers, Segmentation and Targeting

Module 2

Module Overview

Module 02 title slide, Identifying Customers, Segmentation and Targeting

Module 01 ended with a puzzle: Coca-Cola and Pepsi offered the same functional, social and experiential value, and one grew while the other shrank. The difference was the customer. Module 02 is the machinery for finding that customer.

The module works in two directions. It starts inductively, by reading three Coca-Cola advertisements backwards to recover the target group each was built for, and only then builds the theory: Segmentation, Targeting, Positioning, the five bases of segmentation, the conditions a segment must satisfy to be worth serving, and the five targeting strategies.

Memory hook: Segmentation is dividing. Targeting is choosing. Differentiation is distinguishing. Positioning is communicating. Note that the first three happen inside your office and the customer never sees them. Only positioning reaches the customer.

2.1 Identifying the Target Market from Advertising

Three Coca-Cola India advertisements are analysed in sequence. The pedagogic reason there are three, and not one, only becomes clear at the end: the value proposition stays constant while geography, demography, psychography and behaviour all shift.

2.1.1 Coke Ad I: The Punjab Sugarcane Field

Analysis slide for the first Coca-Cola advertisement

The ad is set in rural North India, Punjab, in hot weather. An urban traveller and a rural sugarcane farmer meet.

BaseWhat the ad signals
GeographicNorth India, Punjab. Rural versus urban. Hot climate
DemographicYoung. Students or people in early jobs, and farmers. Girls and a male sugarcane farmer, so gender is in play. Socio-economic classification by income: upper, middle and lower class, that is SEC A, B and below
PsychographicExtroverted, modern, energetic
BehaviouralTravellers, loyal users, current users of the product

Common trap: Socio-economic classification (SEC A, B, C) is a demographic variable, not a psychographic one. It is income and occupation based, which makes it measurable, which is exactly what psychographics are not.

Value delivered: refreshment and thirst-quenching (functional), the shared moment between two strangers (social), the pleasure of the cold drink on a hot day (experiential), and affordability at a rural price point (economic).

2.1.2 Discussion Response: Which Base Did Ad I Lean On?

Slide showing the ways of segmenting a market

Based on the segmentation categories discussed in the video, which segmentation base do you think Coca-Cola focused on the most in the first ad? How did the elements of the ad support your interpretation?

According to my analysis of the first ad, Coca-Cola focused on the demographic, geographic and to some extent psychographic segmentation bases.

First, the setting of the ad in a rural area shows Coca-Cola's focus on the geographic base. This effectively communicated Coca-Cola's availability to viewers, which is essential in marketing as it is one of the 4 Ps, Place.

Secondly, the ad demonstrates Coca-Cola's demographic segmentation by contrasting the urban traveller with the rural farmer, showing the brand's appeal across different socio-economic classes.

Lastly, the ad highlights Coca-Cola's ability to quench thirst on a hot summer day, refresh the consumer and bring happiness. The use of the song "Yaara da Tashan" conveys an energetic, upbeat mood and ties it to a social event. All of this suggests psychographic segmentation, as the brand is attaching the drink to an emotion.

2.1.3 Coke Ad II: The Shop Counter

Analysis slide for the second Coca-Cola advertisement

After watching the video, identify the persona you think the company is aiming for. How would you segment this audience?

We can segment the audience targeted in this ad on their flamboyant and outgoing persona as depicted. This target group is also social and generally extroverted. If Coca-Cola can win customers of this specific target group, they are sure to have a loyal customer base, as such people will always prefer a Coke for refreshment.

So this audience can be segmented on demographics and psychographics.

BaseProfile
DemographicsAge 18 to 35, Western India, lower to middle class
PsychographicsInterested in popular culture, brands and social trends. Confident, outgoing, aspirational

We can also see that the ad targets the shopkeepers, to build the B2B network. It brings awareness to shopkeepers who did not know Coca-Cola, and shows how Coca-Cola can provide them with monetary gain and a satisfied customer base.

Note: This B2B reading was reached independently before the lecture supplied it. It is the correct reading. A consumer ad that also recruits the retailer is doing two jobs at once, and the retailer is a collaborator in 5 C terms.

2.1.4 Coke Ad III: The Mountain Guide

Analysis slide for the third Coca-Cola advertisement

Who do you think the ad is made for? What kind of people or groups are they aiming to connect with?

The ad targets a young age group who are social, extroverted and adventure-seeking. The ad being set in a mountainous rural area shows the availability of Coca-Cola, and the local guide knowing what Coca-Cola is shows the loyal customer base Coca-Cola wants to gather. This loyalty is also shown when the couple reaches for a Coke when they need a "thanda", and when the local guide is dissatisfied on being handed a different drink after asking for a "thanda".

The lecture's own reading of the same ad:

BaseAd III
GeographicMountains, a colder area, possibly the Northeast. Remote terrain
DemographicTwo target groups: a honeymooning husband and wife couple, and a local mountain guide, a professional. Still youth, but slightly older, in their twenties
PsychographicA loving couple, extroverts, adventure seekers
BehaviouralTravelling, carrying the bottle with them, loyal, high users. The guide refuses any brand other than Coca-Cola
StrategyAvailability and communication: people are aware of the brand even in a remote mountainous location, and it is there when they want it

"Thanda matlab Coca-Cola"

In India, Coca-Cola and other soft drinks are extremely popular, especially during the hot summer months, when roughly 70 to 80 percent of all aerated soft drink consumption happens. People use the word "thanda", which means "cold", to ask for a refreshing drink rather than naming a brand. Because Coca-Cola is so well known and associated with being cold, many consumers simply say "thanda" when they want a Coke.

The mechanism is a two-sided understanding. If both the consumer and the retailer accept that thanda means Coca-Cola, then every time a customer asks for a thanda the retailer hands over a Coke, and every time the retailer hands over a Coke the customer is satisfied, because thanda is Coca-Cola. It converts a generic category word into brand property, which is why the campaign ran.

2.1.5 The Cross-Ad Conclusion

This is the reason three ads are shown rather than one, and it is the analytical payoff of the whole block.

Ad IAd IIAd III
GeographyRural Punjab, hot plainsUrban and semi-urban Western India, a shop counterMountains, cold terrain, remote
DemographyStudents, early-job youth, farmers, SEC A to CAge 18 to 35, lower to middle class, plus shopkeepers as a B2B audienceHoneymooning couple plus a professional mountain guide, twenties
PsychographyExtrovert, modernFlamboyant, aspirational, trend-awareLoving, extrovert, adventure-seeking
BehaviourTravellers, current usersOccasion buyers, potential loyalsLoyal, high usage, brand refusers
Value deliveredRefreshment, social, experientialRefreshment, social, experientialRefreshment, social, experiential

Memory hook, the punchline: The value does not change. Everything else does. Geography changes, demography changes, psychography changes, behaviour changes, but functional, social and experiential value stay exactly the same in all three ads. That is what makes Coca-Cola one proposition served to many segments, and it is a direct continuation of the Module 01 case conclusion.

2.2 Market Segmentation

2.2.1 Understanding STP: Segmentation

Section slide introducing market segmentation
Slide illustrating segmentation of a market into homogeneous groups

Segmentation is the process of segmenting consumers on some parameters called bases, dividing the market into various homogeneous groups.

Common trap: "It is the customers that are segmented, not the product." Every year students segment the product line instead of the population. Sunsilk's several shampoo variants are not the segmentation; they are the response to a segmentation of shampoo buyers by hair need.

2.2.2 Understanding STP: Targeting

Slide illustrating targeting, choosing which segments to serve

Targeting is the process of choosing one or more specific segments to focus on, rather than the whole market.

2.2.3 Understanding STP: Differentiation and Positioning

Perceptual map slide showing competitor positions and the target position

The perceptual map plots the competition's offerings so you can find an unoccupied position. Say the green dot is the position we want to acquire.

Differentiation is the process of identifying that position and distinguishing your offering from competitors. It can rest on price, quality, promotion, durability, service facility, guarantee or warranty, the spokesperson, or anything else.

Positioning is creating the right perception in the mind of the customer, using the 4 Ps or 7 Ps.

Common trap: Segmentation, targeting and differentiation all happen to the target market and to consumers, not to the product, and the consumer never sees any of it. You have run the survey, cut the segments and designed the differentiation, and the consumer knows nothing. Positioning is the only step that reaches the consumer's mind, and unless it succeeds, the other three were wasted.

What actually goes on behind an ad campaign:

  1. Collect data from the market through surveys and marketing research.
  2. Perform statistical analysis to divide consumers into groups.
  3. Use algorithms and models to identify the target market.
  4. Identify competitors and compare their offerings with yours.
  5. Develop the differentiation strategy from that comparison.
  6. Plan how to communicate that differentiation to the target market.

You watch the result for ninety seconds. All six steps sit behind it.

2.2.4 Worked Example: Segmenting a 100,000-Person Market

The professor's board work. Take one geographic area containing 100,000 people and cut it on four bases: age, income, occupation and personality.

SegmentAgeIncome per monthOccupationPersonalitySize
120 to 3025,000ITExtrovert10,000
222 to 3050,000BankIntrovert25,000
331 to 45100,000GovernmentIntrovert30,000
431 to 45200,000ConsultingExtrovert10,000
5Over 50500,000EntrepreneursExtrovert25,000
10,000+25,000+30,000+10,000+25,000=100,00010{,}000 + 25{,}000 + 30{,}000 + 10{,}000 + 25{,}000 = 100{,}000

The segments are exhaustive and mutually exclusive, which is what a valid segmentation must be.

Now the targeting decision. Two different products, two different answers:

ProductTarget segmentWhy
Luxury watchSegment 5Maximum spending power at 500,000 per month, and more mature, so likely to want the image an expensive watch confers
Health drinkSegments 1 and 2The youngest cohorts, the most health conscious and the most likely to be fitness focused

Memory hook: The same market yields different targets for different products. The segmentation is a property of the population; the targeting is a property of your offering.

Once segment 3 is chosen (30,000 people, the largest), the perceptual map comes in. Suppose buyers evaluate the category on two parameters, price and quality, each at high, medium and low. Existing players occupy five positions on that map. You pick an unoccupied one, say relatively high price with good quality. That gap is your differentiation.

2.2.5 Differentiated and Undifferentiated Marketing

Slide contrasting differentiated marketing with mass marketing
Differentiated marketingUndifferentiated marketing
Also calledThe rifle approachThe shotgun approach, mass marketing
MechanicAim, then shootBlast, and it will hit somebody
MethodStart with segmentation, identify the specific target market, then tailor a positioning strategy and marketing mix to fit that segmentTarget the entire market with one offering, no specific segment
Typical categoriesShampoo variants, ten varieties of rice, branded basmatiRice, dal, pulses, milk, bread, eggs sold generically

The Ford Model T anchor case. Ford Motors produced the first mass motorised vehicle at a time when long-distance transport meant horses, bulls or donkeys. The Model T (1910 and 1925 models) came with the classic line:

"Any customer can have a car painted in any colour that he wants, so long as it is black."

One car, one colour, take it or leave it. That is the textbook case of undifferentiated mass marketing.

Common trap, and the professor raises it himself: the Model T was expensive, and only the rich or the new-product enthusiast could actually buy one. In that sense it was not truly reaching the mass at all, and it was close to a monopoly. It counts as mass marketing by the classic definition, because the whole market was offered a single product, not because everybody bought one.

The direction of travel is towards differentiation. Even rice divides into rice for pulao, rice for biryani, rice for kheer and rice for cakes, and then into Daawat and India Gate basmati.

2.2.6 Niche Marketing

Niche marketing is having a specific product for a specific segment. Its defining features:

FeatureDetail
Market sizeTypically small
ProductCustomised, not standardised. The product is specific to the type of target customer
PriceHigher, because you are customising, the market is small, and you are providing higher service

Examples from the lecture: a supplier providing the full suit, trousers, tie and shirt in a required colour specifically for executives of a particular company; healthcare facilities designed for people who are both diabetic and obese; specialist makeup and personal grooming for film celebrities.

Common trap: Niche marketing is not "a standard product sold to a small group". The whole point is that you do change the product to fit the target customer's need, and that customisation is what justifies the price premium.

So there are three initial approaches: differentiated marketing, mass (undifferentiated) marketing, and niche marketing.

2.2.7 Bases of Segmentation

Slide listing the bases of segmentation
BaseWhat it identifiesQuestion it answers
GeographicWhere the customer isWhere?
DemographicMeasurable vital statistics of the customerWho?
PsychographicPersonality and lifestyleWhy?
BehaviouralHow the customer behaves towards the productHow do they buy?
TechnographicAttitude to technology and online behaviourHow do they buy online?

Memory hook: The bases are never used alone. Every customer simultaneously has a geography, a demography, a psychography and a behaviour. Real segmentation uses cascading or multi-variable combinations: geodemographic, demopsychographic, geopsychographic, psychobehavioural. They are taught separately only for clarity.

2.2.8 Geographic Segmentation

Slide on geographic segmentation parameters

Geographic parameters: region, city, population density, climate, urban versus rural, terrain.

2.2.9 Demographic Segmentation

Slide listing the seven demographic parameters

Demography is the vital and measurable statistics about a human population. Seven sub-variables are taught:

#Variable
1Age
2Sex / gender
3Marital status
4Education
5Occupation
6Income
7Family size

Geography and demography are the most widely used segmentation variables, because every customer demonstrably has both and both are measurable.

But they are not sufficient, and here is why. Suppose a 25 to 30 year old and a 55 to 60 year old both buy Levi's jeans. You have correctly identified two segments, and you still have no idea what strategy to run, because one is in her late twenties and the other in her late fifties and demography alone tells you nothing about why either bought. That gap is what psychographics fills.

2.2.10 Psychographic Segmentation

Slide on psychographic segmentation

Where demography explains the who, psychography explains the why. Psychography is the science of using psychology together with demography.

ConstituentDefinition
PersonalityThe way you interact with your environment, how a person responds to stimuli. Somebody taps you on the shoulder: do you read it as friendly, violent or threatening?
LifestyleThe manifestation of your personality. How you live, what you actually do
ƒPsychographics
Psychographics=Personality+Lifestyle\text{Psychographics} = \text{Personality} + \text{Lifestyle}
Where: personality is how a person responds to stimuli, and lifestyle is the visible manifestation of that personality.

2.2.11 The VALS Framework

The VALS framework grid with eight consumer types arranged by primary motivation and resources

VALS stands for Values And Lifestyles. It is the most popular commercially available classification scheme based on psychographic measurement, owned by Strategic Business Insights (SBI), a US company. SBI classifies US adults into eight primary groups.

The grid has two dimensions:

  • Horizontal: primary motivation, in three columns, Ideals, Achievement, Self-expression
  • Vertical: resources and innovation, running from high resources and high innovation at the top to low resources and low innovation at the bottom
PositionTypeCharacteristics
Top, above all three columnsInnovatorsSuccessful, sophisticated, active, take-charge people with high self-esteem. Highest resources and innovation
Ideals, upperThinkersMature, satisfied and reflective, motivated by ideals, value order, knowledge and responsibility. Look for durability, functionality and value in products
Ideals, lowerBelieversConservative, conventional, motivated by ideals but with fewer resources. Loyal to established brands
Achievement, upperAchieversGoal oriented, career and family focused, motivated by achievement, with high resources
Achievement, lowerStriversTrendy and fun-loving but resource constrained. They favour stylish products that emulate the purchases of those with greater material wealth. Cannot buy a luxury brand but will buy something resembling one, or factory seconds, or fakes
Self-expression, upperExperiencersYoung, enthusiastic, impulsive, motivated by self-expression, with high resources
Self-expression, lowerMakersPractical, self-sufficient, motivated by self-expression but with low resources. Build and fix things themselves
Bottom, below all three columnsSurvivorsLowest resources and innovation, focused on meeting immediate needs, cautious and brand loyal out of necessity

Memory hook: Innovators on top, Survivors at the bottom, and six in between in three motivation columns. The upper row of each column has the resources and the lower row does not. Strivers are the exam favourite, because they show how a segment definition converts straight into a product decision: build something in the lower price range that still looks and feels aspirational.

The point of VALS is combination. Layer demography on top: innovators are aged 40 to 45, thinkers 50 to 55, then add where each lives, their income profile, their family size and number of children. Only with geography, demography and psychography together can you actually identify the customer in detail.

2.2.12 The A.I.O. Inventory

The academic literature on personality and lifestyle is extensive, but usually impossible to implement commercially. Researchers, doctors and psychiatrists can classify people psychographically; a marketer cannot. The practical tool is the A.I.O. inventory.

LetterStands forWhat it probes
AActivitiesHow consumers spend their time. What do you do at the weekend? On weekdays? In the evening? What health regime do you keep, if any?
IInterestsPreferences and priorities: home, fashion, food, dressing
OOpinionsHow the customer feels about a wide variety of events and issues: political, social, environmental, the future

How it is administered: a battery of statements and questions, to which respondents agree or disagree. From that response set you build the inventory and segment the market. Statistical work then reduces the battery to segments, which is beyond the scope of this course.

Memory hook: A.I.O. is the measurement instrument for psychographics. VALS is a ready-made output you can buy. AIO measures personality and lifestyle; psychographics is personality plus lifestyle; VALS is one commercial classification of the result.

2.2.13 Behavioural Segmentation

Slide showing the roles in a purchase decision

Behavioural segmentation looks at the behaviour of current customers. The questions it answers are how to grow the base: can the same customer buy more, or buy more often; can we attract the less committed customers towards the brand; can we raise satisfaction.

Seven behavioural variables:

VariableWhat it segments on
Occasion of purchaseWhen the product is bought or used: daily, festival, gift, emergency
Benefits soughtWhat the buyer is actually buying. People do not buy locks, they buy security. People do not buy beauty products, they buy self-confidence
User statusNon-user, ex-user, potential user, first-time user, regular user
Usage rateLight, medium, heavy user
Buyer readiness stageUnaware, aware, informed, interested, desirous, intending to buy
Loyalty statusHardcore loyals, split loyals, shifting loyals, switchers
AttitudeEnthusiastic, positive, indifferent, negative, hostile towards the product

The loyalty ladder is a strategy, not just a label. As a marketer you want to move people up it:

Switcher → Shifting loyal → Split loyal → Hardcore loyal

Common trap: the variable is loyalty status, and the four rungs describe how consistently a buyer sticks with one brand. A split loyal buys two or three brands consistently; a shifting loyal drifts from one brand to another over time; a switcher has no loyalty at all.

2.2.14 Technographic Segmentation

Slide defining technographic optimists
Slide describing technographic optimists as people who like technology, like to learn it and do not mind experimenting
Slide describing technographic pessimists

Technographics segments consumers exactly as psychographics or demographics do, except that it is custom made for the internet economy: for technology products, and for technology-savvy consumers. It looks specifically at how consumers behave online, and in particular at their online shopping behaviour.

The base rests on a single, very large divide: attitude towards technology.

TypeAttitude
Technographic optimistsThey like technology. They like to learn about it. They do not mind trying something new or experimenting
Technographic pessimistsPessimistic about technology, sometimes even fearful. They want to avoid it

Attribution: technographic segmentation was conceptualised by Mary Modahl in her 1999 book Now or Never: How Companies Must Change Today to Win the Battle for Internet Consumers, written as part of Forrester Research.

The technography by income grid. Technographics is used the way every base is used, combined with another base, here demography, specifically income. That gives four cells and a distinct strategy for each.

CellTechnology attitudeIncomeNameWhat to do with them
Top leftOptimistHighEarly AdoptersThe best target segment. They want the technology and can pay for it. Launch here
Top rightPessimistHighMainstream-1, high-income pessimistsThe segment worth working on. They have the money but are scared of or avoid the technology. Convert them with reassurance and demonstration, and you gain a strong segment
Bottom leftOptimistLowMainstream-2, low-income optimistsComfortable with technology but cannot afford it. Reach them with offers, schemes, EMI and entry pricing
Bottom rightPessimistLowReal laggardsNeither willing nor able. You do not really target them

The worked case: Flipkart. The Flipkart campaigns of a few years ago in which children play the roles of adults are the professor's example of technographic segmentation done well, and he calls it one of the most successful segmentation campaigns we have seen.

The target is Mainstream-1: middle-aged parents who are not short of money but do not trust the technology for online delivery and online purchase, especially for big-ticket items or fashion, where people want to touch and feel the product. The creative device answers exactly that objection. Children behave like adults and say how easy it is, and the implied message is: even kids can do this, so why are the parents not doing it? It attacks the fear, not the price, because for Mainstream-1 the fear is the binding constraint.

Memory hook: Technographics is what you reach for whenever the product is new technology, online, or app based. And the segment to convert is almost never the laggards. It is the rich pessimist.

2.2.15 The Five Conditions for Effective Segmentation

Slide listing the conditions for effective segmentation

Having a base is not enough. A segment is only worth building a strategy around if it meets all five of these conditions.

#ConditionWhat it means in practice
1Identifiable and measurable, with distinct needsYou can point at the group, count it, and it wants something different from other groups
2Substantial, that is, enough potential customers to be profitableThe segment is sizable. It is not that two people are positive about the product and that constitutes a segment
3Customers are willing and able to buyDemand is real. They have both the money and the willpower to buy the product
4Accessible, that is, marketers can communicate effectively with themThere is some route to reach them, whether conventional media (newspapers, magazines, TV, radio) or modern media (the various social platforms)
5Stable, that is, the segment does not change too rapidlyIf, by the time you have identified the segment and gone to market, the segment has changed, there is no point in targeting it

The structural test that sits under all five:

Memory hook: Homogeneous within, heterogeneous between.

Suppose one segment is defined as: age 30 to 40, income 1 lakh per month, occupation executives in IT firms, and there are 50,000 such people in the city. Those 50,000 are homogeneous within on all three of those parameters. Other segments in the same city will be non-IT professionals, or earning less than 1 lakh, or outside the 30 to 40 band, so the segments are heterogeneous between. If a segmentation fails either half of that test, the base was the wrong one.

Common trap: an exam question will give you a "segment" of 40 people, or a segment with no media route to it, or a fashion segment that reinvents itself every quarter, and ask whether it is worth targeting. Run all five conditions, and name the one that fails.

2.3 Targeting Markets

2.3.1 What Targeting Is

Targeting is selecting one or more of the identified segments and concentrating on those rather than on the whole market. Marketers run a target market decision analysis over the whole market on the relevant characteristics (age, residence, gender, income and so on) and then choose the target market that matches their own resources and goals.

Three blocks of criteria for selecting a target segment:

#CriterionWhat it covers
1Size and growthCurrent demand potential and the rate at which it will expand
2Structural attractivenessExternal analysis of the market, via Porter's five forces
3Organisation's objectives and resourcesWhat you are trying to achieve, and the man, machine, material, money and technology you have to achieve it

2.3.2 Determining Segment Size

Slide showing the three-step method for determining segment size

Segment size is the current demand potential estimation for the product or service concerned. The method is three steps:

StepAction
1Take a sample from the geographical area you are focusing on, based on the chosen basis of segmentation
2Collect data from the chosen sample on purchase intention, ability to pay and willingness to pay
3Extrapolate to the whole population, using survey and statistical analysis

What this yields is the number of people who have the need, the willingness and the ability to pay. All three must hold. Need without ability to pay is not demand.

Growth rate is the analysis of how that segment grows over time. If the 30 to 40 age group in Bangalore is 1 lakh today, the question is what it is in five years. If it is still 1 lakh, the market is a bad one, because there is no growth. Is it growing at 2 percent, 3 percent, 5 percent or 10 percent? The data sources are demographic data, the government census, and sociological growth-rate data published in research papers, journals and articles.

Worked numerical: sizing and growing a segment

Given: the target cohort in Bangalore, aged 30 to 40, numbers 100,000 people today. A sample survey finds that 18 percent have the purchase intention plus both the willingness and the ability to pay. The cohort is projected to grow at 5 percent per annum for five years.

Current segment size:

ƒSegment size
Segment size=Population×Qualified proportion\text{Segment size} = \text{Population} \times \text{Qualified proportion}
Where: the qualified proportion is the share of the population with the need, the willingness and the ability to pay.
Substituting
Segment size=100,000×0.18=18,000\text{Segment size} = 100{,}000 \times 0.18 = 18{,}000

Population in five years:

ƒPopulation after n years of compound growth
Pn=P0(1+g)nP_n = P_0 (1 + g)^n
Where: P0P_0 is the population today, gg is the annual growth rate as a decimal, and nn is the number of years.
Substituting
P5=100,000×(1.05)5=100,000×1.27628=127,628P_5 = 100{,}000 \times (1.05)^5 = 100{,}000 \times 1.27628 = 127{,}628

Segment size in five years, holding the qualified proportion constant:

127,628×0.18=22,973127{,}628 \times 0.18 = 22{,}973

Answer: current demand potential is 18,000 buyers, rising to roughly 22,973 in five years, an increase of about 27.6 percent. Note that the qualifying screen (need plus willingness plus ability) removes 82 percent of the raw population. Sizing a segment off headcount alone would overstate the market by more than five times.

2.3.3 Structural Attractiveness: Porter's Five Forces

Michael Porter's five forces model slide

Structural attractiveness is the external analysis of the market. The model is Michael Porter's five forces.

ForceWhat it measuresIdeal for youWorked contrast
Threat of new entrantsThe entry barrierLow threat, that is, a high entry barrierPharma, arms and ammunition, defence, iron and steel, fertilisers are hard to enter (regulation, heavy investment, real estate, manpower, technology). Retail is easy: you can start selling potatoes, onions and old apparel from your garage tomorrow, so the threat is high and the segment less attractive
Threat of intense segment rivalryThe exit barrierLow threat, that is, a low exit barrierA retailer sells the inventory and walks away. A brand owner with Sunsilk or Colgate, with plants, machines, manpower and a clientele, cannot simply close the shop. Firms that cannot exit keep running unprofitably, which creates overcapacity and makes the segment unattractive
Threat of substitute productsWhether your value proposition is uniqueLow threatIf you sell tea and the customer sees no significant difference between tea and coffee in the morning, coffee is a substitute. Raise your price or lose availability and the customer simply switches
Bargaining power of buyersWhether customers can dictate termsLowIn B2B the customers are bulk buyers taking a significant share of your output, so their bargaining power is high and they can literally dictate the business to you. In B2C, an individual buying soap or toothpaste buys too little volume to matter, so power is low. The caveat: in the age of social media, one unhappy individual can go viral, hit the stock price and shrink the customer base, so individual buyer power is no longer negligible
Bargaining power of suppliersWhether input providers can dictate termsLowA single aggregator controlling 200 bikes and 200 riders becomes a significant service supplier to Zomato and can dictate remuneration. Someone with a fleet of 500 cabs can dictate terms to Uber. Suppliers include raw material suppliers, service suppliers, logistics partners, and advertising, promotion and digital marketing partners

Memory hook: The ideal is high entry barrier, low exit barrier, and all five forces low. In the utopian world that segment does not exist. So you mix and match, score the segments on all five, and pick the one with the best overall profile. You will not get everything low.

Common trap: the first two forces are easy to confuse. Threat of new entrants is about getting in. Threat of intense segment rivalry is about getting out.

2.3.4 The Weighted-Average Segment Scoring Model

The three criteria (size and growth, structural attractiveness, objectives and resources) are combined quantitatively, not by judgement alone. Assign a weight to each criterion, score every segment on every criterion, and take the weighted average. The segment with the highest total score is the target.

ƒWeighted-average segment score
Segment score=i=1nwi×si\text{Segment score} = \sum_{i=1}^{n} w_i \times s_i
Where: wiw_i is the weight on criterion ii and sis_i is the segment's score on that criterion. The weights must sum to 1.

Worked numerical

Given: weights of 0.40 for size and growth, 0.35 for structural attractiveness and 0.25 for objectives and resources. Two candidate segments score out of 10 as follows.

CriterionWeightSegment ASegment B
Size and growth0.4086
Structural attractiveness0.3558
Objectives and resources0.2567

Segment A:

(0.40×8)+(0.35×5)+(0.25×6)=3.20+1.75+1.50=6.45(0.40 \times 8) + (0.35 \times 5) + (0.25 \times 6) = 3.20 + 1.75 + 1.50 = 6.45

Segment B:

(0.40×6)+(0.35×8)+(0.25×7)=2.40+2.80+1.75=6.95(0.40 \times 6) + (0.35 \times 8) + (0.25 \times 7) = 2.40 + 2.80 + 1.75 = 6.95

Answer: Segment B wins at 6.95 against 6.45, even though Segment A is the larger and faster growing market. A big segment inside a structurally hostile industry, with five forces working against you, is worth less than a smaller segment you can defend. This is precisely why size is only one of three criteria.

2.3.5 Targeting Strategy: Single Segment Concentration

Grid showing a single cell selected, single segment concentration

The worked frame runs throughout: three customer groups (teens, adults, elders) against three product categories (cosmetics, apparels, shoes), giving a three by three grid of nine segments.

Single segment concentration: choose one of the nine. Cosmetics for adult women, and nothing else.

2.3.6 Targeting Strategy: Selective Specialization

Grid showing three scattered cells selected, selective specialization

Selective specialization: focus on several individual segments that need not be related. Shoes for teens, cosmetics for adult women, apparels for elders. Three of the nine.

2.3.7 Targeting Strategy: Product Specialization

Grid showing one product row across all customer groups, product specialization

Product specialization: one particular product for everybody. Cosmetics for teens, adults and elders alike.

2.3.8 Targeting Strategy: Market Specialization

Grid showing all products for one customer group, market specialization

Market specialization: satisfy all the needs of one particular customer group. Cosmetics, apparels and shoes, all for adult women.

Common trap: product specialization and market specialization are mirror images and are routinely swapped in exams. Product specialization is one row (one product, all groups). Market specialization is one column (all products, one group).

2.3.9 Targeting Strategy: Differentiated Full Market Coverage

Grid with all nine cells covered by distinct offerings, differentiated full market coverage

Full market coverage takes all nine segments. It comes in two forms.

Differentiated full market coverage: cover all nine cells, but with different offerings for each. Cosmetics go to teens, adults and elders, but not the same cosmetics: price points differ, promotions differ. Apparels go to all three, but sizes, colours, cuts, materials, promotions and prices all differ.

2.3.10 Targeting Strategy: Undifferentiated Full Market Coverage

Grid with all nine cells covered by one offering, undifferentiated full market coverage

Undifferentiated full market coverage: one offering for everybody. This is the mass marketing strategy.

2.3.11 The Five Targeting Strategies, and a Sixth

#StrategyCells covered on a 3x3 gridLogic
1Single segment concentration1All resources on one segment
2Selective specializationSeveral, unrelatedSpread risk across independent segments
3Product specializationOne rowSell one product to every group
4Market specializationOne columnServe every need of one group
5Full market coverageAll 9Differentiated (different offering per cell) or undifferentiated (one offering for all)

The live revision session adds a sixth strategy at the opposite extreme from mass marketing:

StrategyDefinitionExamples
UndifferentiatedMass marketing, one product for all segmentsCoca-Cola's original strategy
DifferentiatedDifferent products for different segmentsMarriott offering luxury, business and budget hotels
ConcentratedFocusing on one or a few nichesRolex targeting luxury consumers
MicromarketingTailoring products to local or individual customer segmentsPersonalised ads served through social media; local menu variation

Memory hook: the targeting spectrum runs from one offering for everyone (undifferentiated) to one offering for each person (micromarketing). Everything else sits between those poles, and the choice is driven by the weighted score of size, attractiveness and your own resources.

2.3.12 Where This Leads

Segmentation and targeting are complete. The marketer can now define the consumer and predict their probable response to various stimuli. The next step is a positioning strategy, and before positioning you must first establish how your product or service differs from the competitor's. That is differentiation, and it opens Module 03.

Quick Revision Checklist

ConceptOne-line answer
STPSegment (divide), Target (choose), Position (communicate). Differentiation sits between target and position
What gets segmentedThe customers, never the product
Five basesGeographic, Demographic, Psychographic, Behavioural, Technographic. Never used alone
Demographic sub-variablesAge, sex, marital status, education, occupation, income, family size
PsychographicsPersonality plus lifestyle. Lifestyle is the manifestation of personality
VALSStrategic Business Insights. 8 types on Primary Motivation (Ideals, Achievement, Self-expression) by Resources and Innovation
A.I.O.Activities, Interests, Opinions, measured with an agree/disagree statement battery
Behavioural variablesOccasion, benefits, user status, usage rate, buyer readiness, loyalty status, attitude
Loyalty ladderSwitcher to shifting loyal to split loyal to hardcore loyal
TechnographicsMary Modahl, Forrester, 1999. Optimist versus pessimist, crossed with income
Best technographic targetEarly Adopters. The one to convert is Mainstream-1, the high-income pessimist
Five conditionsIdentifiable and measurable, substantial, willing and able to buy, accessible, stable
Structural testHomogeneous within, heterogeneous between
Three targeting criteriaSize and growth, structural attractiveness, objectives and resources. Combined by weighted average
Five forcesNew entrants (entry barrier), segment rivalry (exit barrier), substitutes, buyer power, supplier power
Ideal barriersHigh entry barrier, low exit barrier
Five targeting strategiesSingle segment, selective specialization, product specialization, market specialization, full market coverage
Sixth strategyMicromarketing, tailoring to local or individual segments
Coke three-ad payoffValue constant, target group changes